(ii) The impacts of anthropogenic climate change on tropical countries, in particular on the availability of water resources for human use, and on the productivity of crops and the potential changes in the natural vegetation.
PROMISE will develop an integrated approach towards seasonal and climate change prediction in which the impacts on local hydrology and agriculture are part of the prediction process. The research exploits existing or planned numerical simulations on seasonal and climate timescales and will undertake process studies through experimentation with global and regional models, with special reference to land surface processes and the impacts of land use changes. Models of crop development/productivity, ground hydrology and water balance in large river catchments will be developed and tested.
A key objective of PROMISE is the establishment of a significant programme of collaboration with scientists and users in monsoon-affected countries. A database with selected results from numerical simulations and observational datasets on atmospheric, hydrological and agricultural parameters will be established.
